Estimating the Disparate Quantitative Cumulative Impact of ASUU Strike on the Economic Growth: Evidence from North-East Nigeria

Abstract

The study explores estimating the disparate quantitative cumulative impact of ASUU-strike on the economic growth: Evidence from North-East Nigeria. First, we study strike actions by the Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU) in Nigeria and recent changes in the actions of the employer (Federal-Government-of-Nigeria), using primary data collection from each of the Federal and State own Universities of the six states of the North-Eastern Nigeria demographics over the period 2022-2023. We employed structured questionnaires and random sampling distribution to gather data for analysis. Next, we used panel data analysis to estimate data collected with particular emphasis on random effect. We find that the average effect of food-vendors, taxi-drivers & Okada-riders, landlord, banks domiciled on campuses and stationary sellers over ASUU-Strikes when all these independent variables changes across time and between universities increases by 1%, ASUU-Strikes decreases the incomes of food-vendors, taxi-drivers & Okada-riders, landlord, banks domiciled on campuses and stationary-sellers by about 2%, 3,9%, 9.3%, 14.7% and 9% respectively, holding all other predictors constant. We discuss implications for policy, indicating that ASUU-strike affects the level of economic activities of businesses domiciled in the university system and neighborhood-shops around the university campuses thereby further depresses nation’s economy. Finally, we make recommendations.